This weekend, we’ve got a 12-fight card in Canada. DraftKings has some strong competitions for us to win a lot of cash from this week. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of 100k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only competition for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will be spread out between all 100 admissions that match. I will try to receive my 2nd chair this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers, so be careful chasing those overly hard. I’ll probably stick to the very best GPP this week and throw a small number of entries at that $25k decoration, then I will likely take a few shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to receive a fantastic quantity of drama into money games.
With that said, let us get into a couple plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Macy Chiasson — $9,400
Macy Chiasson is undoubtedly the safest play on the board this week and she has 100+ point upside. She’s a lock in my money matches this week and I actually don’t really see the way she loses. I believe a entry could be Moras’ best chance but she is not very capable of finding the battle to the ground, so I see her getting dominated on the toes until the ref steps in. She’s by far my favourite play in the $9k range and she’s a -750 on the gambling line. I like playing with it safer in cash games and I believe she is a safe triumph this week.
GPP play of this week — Greg Hardy- $8,600
This is a simple one for me and he’ll be the chalk of the week. I’ll still be overweight on Merab though. His style is exactly what we want on DraftKings. He has a nonstop speed and he shoots for takedowns frequently. He’s 22 landed takedowns in his first 3 UFC fights and that is his best path to victory in this matchup as well. Despite two losses on his album from these 3 fights, he still averages more DK points than Katona does with his 2-0 UFC record. This is not my GPP play of the week since I understand he is going to win, I just know IF he wins that he will score highly, and that he needs to easily reach value within an $8.6k price .
Underdog play of this week — Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone — $7,800
I have to select Cowboy as the puppy of the week. His fights are always action packed and the winner of the fight will definitely be about the first-place lineup. Particularly if it is Cowboy. He always scores over 100 points in his wins and he has 5-rounds to work with here. I really don’t see a situation where he wins and does not end up about the $25k lineup. I will be obese on Saturdays this week, but this really is an all-in fight for me. If Cowboy isn’t in one of my lineups, then you will see Iaquinta there. I’m heavier on the Cowboy side though and I think he gets the work done by entry.
Fade of this week — Elias Theodorou ($8,000)
I would be quite surprised to see Theodorou about the 1st location lineup this week. I’d be surprised to see him get 10x his $8k price tag and that’s the reason why I will have zero lineups with this week. Not counting his fight with Dan Kelly, his 4 wins before that scored 76, 69, 64, and 49. His style is simply not good for DraftKings. He will need to knock Brunson out whether he is going to score tremendously and that he isn’t a power puncher. I think you’re better off carrying Elias from TKO on the gambling line at +870. I don’t find any reason to spend in this week in GPPs because he doesn’t possess the ceiling we want to win that big $25k. I believe he is fine in money games as a 65-point win wouldn’t kill us . However he’s an easy fade of the week for me Saturday.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and also provide my entire DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link too. I’m 71-45 to get +233.79u (+$23,379) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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